The future is uncertain. Markets shift, technologies emerge, competitors surprise us. Plans that assume a single future will be surprised when reality differs.

Scenario planning does not try to predict the future. Instead, it explores multiple plausible futures and develops strategies that are robust across scenarios. By considering different possibilities, we can prepare for uncertainty without succumbing to paralysis.

In this topic, you will learn to develop scenarios that capture key uncertainties. You will evaluate strategies across multiple futures. You will identify early warning signals that indicate which scenario is unfolding.